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BCS Bowl Projections: November 24, 2008

Another week, another shakeup in the projections of the BCS Bowls.

This much we know:

  1. Utah is BCS-bound, with their undefeated 12-0 season.
  2. Penn State is going to the Rose Bowl after winning the Big Ten.
  3. Oregon State goes to the Rose Bowl if they beat Oregon on Saturday.
  4. Unless Missouri wins the Big XII championship game, there will be 2 teams out of Texas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma in BCS games.
  5. Florida and Alabama are in BCS games.

Keeping that in mind, where is there wiggle room?

The ACC is still wide open. As for the Big East, Cincinnati has to get by Syracuse, and they will be going bowling.

I am still very interested in Oklahoma State's and Missouri's influences on the BCS picture. If the Cowboys beat the Sooners, then Texas Tech will go to the Big XII Championship game, playing Missouri.

If Missouri is able to pull off that upset, we would see a very unusual event: a team that didn't even win its own conference playing in the BCS Championship game, the Texas Longhorns. Unfair? Probably. Missouri would then go to the Fiesta Bowl in Glendale.

Bowl Game Participants Winner
Orange Bowl Florida St. Seminoles vs. Utah Utes  Utah
Rose Bowl Oregon St. Beavers vs. Penn St. Nittany Lions
 PSU
Fiesta Bowl Oklahoma Sooners  vs. USC Trojans
 USC
Sugar Bowl Alabama Crimson Tide  vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
 Bama
BCS Championship Texas Longhorns vs. Florida Gators

 Texas

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it will be very very hard for UT to stay ahead of OU if OU wins in Stillwater. The difference is only .084 and a win over a ranked team will certainly be worth more than a win over crappy A&M.

I'm undefeated in fights. Have I been in any? No. Thats because people know my f'ing status. Don't mess with the elite. - Miles

by Dirk Diggler on Nov 25, 2008 8:48 AM MST reply actions  

correct, but we must also consider the schedule, and it’s possible that the voters will remember that Texas actually beat Oklahoma already.

by Cory Williams on Nov 25, 2008 9:45 AM MST up reply actions  

sure

I think it probably depends on the type of game that is played since everyone will be watching.

If OU blows out OSU — I think you’ll see OU jump UT. However, if OU struggles to beat OSU and barely wins, I think you could see UT hang on. But, that causes another dilemma for voters about head to head since Tech beat UT. I guess in this scenario we’re assuming Tech’s blowout loss to OU knocks them out of the running…..

I grew up a UT fan and I root for them (only when not playing ASU obviously) because my wife (also an ASU grad) now goes there for grad school. So, I’m certainly hoping they can keep their lead on OU, I just don’t think it’s likely.

Did you notice Feldman (I think) on ESPN predicts ASU to the Hawaii Bowl? Obviously he’s assuming we win out, but he’s the only one I’ve seen to predict that so far.

I'm undefeated in fights. Have I been in any? No. Thats because people know my f'ing status. Don't mess with the elite. - Miles

by Dirk Diggler on Nov 25, 2008 12:38 PM MST up reply actions  

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