FanPost

Pre-Bowl Polls and Adjusted Polls with Bowl Predictions

The season is almost over, Teams are either preparing for a bowl game or are attempting to reload for another shot at post-season play for next year. This also means that there is only one more poll going to be released from myself this season (the last few were missed because of technical difficulties with my computer).

Notre Dame and Alabama are one and two respectively (pretty much everywhere) and are going to be playing in the BCS Championship. And regardless of how you feel about either team, it is hard to argue that it won't be an entertaining game.

The standard polls will be placed below (minus the old combined polls seeing as how they are tedious and take up space), PHXhero's poll and the SAP, or Statistics Adjusted Poll. Plus, there is a special treat for everybody with some bowl predictions afterwards considering the bowl season is upon us.

Please enjoy, and comment below.

PHXhero's Top 25

Rank

Team

Record

Points

1

Notre Dame

12-0

1500

2

Alabama

12-1

1410

3

Oregon

11-1

1345

4

Florida

11-1

1330

5

Kansas State

11-1

1275

6

Stanford

11-2

1240

7

Georgia

11-2

1105

8

Texas A&M

10-2

1025

9

LSU

10-2

1000

10

Oklahoma

10-2

990

11

South Carolina

10-2

915

12

Florida State

11-2

860

13

Clemson

10-2

855

14

Northern Illinois

12-1

785

15

Boise State

10-2

710

16

Oregon State

9-3

670

17

Utah State

10-2

615

18

Northwestern

9-3

565

19

Louisville

10-2

540

20

UCLA

9-4

430

21

San Jose State

10-2

370

22

Michigan

8-4

315

23

Kent State

11-2

205

24

Nebraska

10-3

105

25

Vanderbilt

8-4

95

Droped Out: 21 Texas, 24 Rutgers


Notre Dame has been number one here since both Oregon and Kansas State were felled on the same night. The Fighting Irish have the best defense in the country right now, yes better than Alabama, and they have the best player in the country on their side; Manti Te'o. Meanwhile, Alabama is the number two team in the country since beating Georgia in the SEC Championship game (last week Georgia had been ranked two in these rankings).
Oregon claims the third spot over Florida because they have a more well-rounded team then the Gators. Florida has an elite defense and Oregon matches that with an elite offense, however, Florida's offense isn't as good as Oregon's defense.


If the playoff system started this season, Kansas State would be the team on the fringe looking in at the BCS Championship playoffs with Notre Dame facing Florida and Alabama taking Oregon with moving on to the Championship on the line.


How about Northern Illinois? The BCS "busters" this season, all thanks to the MAC conference's championship game. Northern Illinois is much better than giving credit for, sure they lost to a poor Iowa team, but a poor Iowa team is still a good football team to go up against (no matter what Kirk Herbstreit says). Plus the Huskies won a total of 12 games and lost a total of one, that's hard to do for any team, look at Clemson, Florida State, Stanford, Georgia, LSU, even the popular pick for BCS champions before the season started; Oklahoma.

Statistic Adjusted Poll

Rank

Team

Record

Points

1

Alabama

12-1

0.879

2

Oregon

11-1

0.745

3

Georgia

11-2

0.709

4

Florida

11-1

0.699

5

Notre Dame

12-0

0.698

6

Texas A&M

10-2

0.667

7

Florida State

11-2

0.649

8

Kansas State

11-1

0.628

9

LSU

10-2

0.625

10

Stanford

11-2

0.603

11

Oklahoma

10-2

0.578

12

South Carolina

10-2

0.567

13

Oregon State

9-3

0.506

14

Clemson

10-2

0.475

15

Northern Illinois

12-1

0.463

16

Utah State

10-2

0.433

17

Boise State

10-2

0.384

18

UCLA

9-4

0.378

19

Nebraska

10-3

0.361

20

Michigan

8-4

0.313

21

San Jose State

10-2

0.292

22

Louisville

10-2

0.272

23

Northwestern

9-3

0.261

24

Wisconsin

8-5

0.246

25

Vanderbilt

8-4

0.232

26

Texas

8-4

0.231

27

Kent State

11-2

0.131

The Statistics Adjusted Poll (or SAP), is a combination of each poll (from AP to BCS to PHXhero's), SoS ranking, and statistical ranking (specifically total offense, PPG, total defense, and PPG against). And yes, it was a lot of computations for myself.

This is the more interesting poll of the two, by far. And it is very obvious, Notre Dame is sitting at five here. Notre Dame is number one in almost all polls and rankings, yet there offensive faults are slowing them down significantly (along with their widely considered "weak" schedule - it isn't weak). If the BCS playoff system were in place with this ranking; Alabama would square off with Florida and Oregon would go toe-to-toe with Georgia. Meanwhile, in this scenario, Notre Dame would be the one looking in on the BCS playoffs wondering what it had to do to get there (keep in mind they are undefeated).

What is also shocking here is the fact that Pac-12 champion, Stanford, is also sitting lower than they should at 10. While Stanford is an incredibly well coached team, their statistics don't back them up because they are a control the football kind of team. It is slow-paced and features a power-run type of offense causing less chances for big plays or high scores, which ultimately hinder their chances at moving up in this ranking.

Bowl Game Predictions

Gildan New Mexico Bowl: Arizona over Nevada

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: #17Utah State over Toledo

S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl: BYU over San Diego State

Beef ‘O' Brady's St. Petersburg Bowl: UCF over Ball State

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: East Carolina over UL Lafayette

MAACO Las Vegas Bowl: Washington over #15Boise State

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State over SMU

Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl: Central Michigan over Western Kentucky

Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman: #21San Jose State over Bowling Green

Belk Bowl: Cincinnati over Duke

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: #20UCLA over Baylor

AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl: UL Monroe over Ohio

Russell Athletic Bowl: Rutgers over Virginia Tech

Meineke Car Care of Texas Bowl: Texas Tech over Minnesota

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl: Rice over Air Force

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: West Virginia over Syracuse

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: Arizona State over Navy

Valero Alamo Bowl: #16Oregon State over Texas

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl: Michigan State over TCU

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: #25Vanderbilt over N.C. State

Hyundai Sun Bowl: USC over Georgia Tech

AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Iowa State over Tulsa

Chick-fil-A Bowl: #13Clemson over #9LSU

TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl: Mississippi State over #18Northwestern

Heart of Dallas Bowl: Oklahoma State over Purdue

Outback Bowl: #11South Carolina over #22Michigan

Capital One Bowl: #7Georgia over #24Nebraska

AT&T Cotton Bowl: #8Texas A&M over #10Oklahoma

BBVA Compass Bowl: Pittsburgh over Ole Miss

GoDaddy.com Bowl: #25Kent State over Arkansas State

BCS Bowl Predictions

Rose Bowl Game Presented by Vizio: #6 Stanford over Wisconsin, 34-17.

Most people are going to pick the Cardinal to win this game, and they should. Stanford is better coached, better offensively, and just plain better than Wisconsin. The run game (led by Taylor) is just going to waste away Wisconsin, even if they have a very good runner themselves in Ball. The score will look closer than the game actually will be.

Discover Orange Bowl: #14Northern Illinois over #12Florida State, 23-21.

Yes it is an upset, however, it isn't all that far-fetched. FSU already blew a game earlier in the year to an unranked N.C. State (who is worse than NIU). Florida State has been struggling lately, they aren't the same team as they were in the first half of the season, meanwhile NIU is coming off a big emotional win over MAC competitor Kent State. Plus, just about everyone is picking the Huskies to get beat which should give them a nice chip on their shoulder to play with.

Allstate Sugar Bowl: #4Florida over #19Louisville, 37-10.

Florida should win this game, stress on the "should." It is very possible that Louisville could pull off the upset but even Vegas doesn't think they will get within 17 points of the Gators. If Louisville wants to win, they need to hope Florida's offense doesn't show up (it actually happens frequently), if that happens Louisville might escape with a narrow low-scoring win in New Orleans.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: #3Oregon over #5Kansas State, 51-45.

A shoot-out in the desert. Kansas State is capable of scoring a lot in games, in order to do this though they need to be calm (pretty much the opposite of the Baylor game), but Oregon breaks scoreboards (they put up 43 on ASU before five minutes had passed in the second quarter!). This is going to be a really good game, perhaps one of the best in BCS bowl history (the Fiesta Bowl holds a lot of these).

Discover BCS National Championship: #1Notre Dame over #2Alabama, 13-10.

From a shoot-out, to a defensive battle, that's the beauty of college football. An overwhelming number of people seem to think that Alabama is going to run away with this game, which is eerily similar to how people thought Stanford, USC, and Oklahoma would all crush Notre Dame (yet it never happened). Fans want to say that the Irish are favored by the media, but that doesn't make them overrated, they are as good as advertised and they have every chance to beat down Alabama at their own game.

This post was brought to you by a member of the House Of Sparky community.

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