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2013 NCAA Tournament Bracketology Update: Bubble in danger of popping for ASU

The Sun Devils must win some big games on the road in order to make the NCAA Tournament in 2013.


A home loss on senior night. An RPI of 87. Even with 20 wins, ASU has a ton of work to do if they want to take part in the 2013 NCAA Tournament. Here are your latest bracketology projections from the experts at ESPN, CBS and SB Nation.

When we discussed bracketology last week, I said that "none of this will matter if Arizona State cannot beat Washington on Saturday night." That unfortunately came true, and the Sun Devils are in a world of trouble heading into the final three games of the regular season.

Jerry Palm does not think much of the Sun Devils, and does not list ASU even in the first four out category. They are completely out of the bracket.

ESPN's Joe Lunardi is singing a similar tune. He has removed the Sun Devils from his bracket after a rough loss to Washington. It is believed that ASU will be back in the conversation with a road sweep of the Los Angeles schools, but that is a gargantuan task for any team heading west. As of today, however, they aren't even in Lunardi's "first eight out."

If the season ended today, ASU would be in the NIT

Chris Dobbertean of SB Nation has Arizona State in the 'departures' category after their loss to UW. The Devils are the second team out of the tournament, behind Baylor. The biggest beneficiaries of ASU's struggles, according to Dobbertean, are Kentucky, Mississippi and Villanova. To quote Dobbertean, "in short, a weak non-conference schedule may doom Arizona State to the NIT."

In all three bracketology projections, there are now five teams from the Pac-12 in the NCAA Tournament: Arizona, UCLA, Oregon, California and Colorado. ASU has beaten three of those teams (CU twice, UCLA and California), but the losses in conference play to middling teams will mean more to the selection committee than the big wins.