The Odds: Arizona State (+9.5), Oregon (-9.5), Over/Under: 75.5
The Breakdown: Something’s got to give tomorrow afternoon in Eugene.
Arizona State is coming off a tight 37-32 loss last week against Washington State, a game that saw quarterback Manny Wilkins exit in the first quarter due to a shoulder injury. Wilkins has been listed as doubtful for the Oregon game.
The Ducks, meanwhile, are fresh off a heartbreaking double overtime loss suffered last Friday at California.
Despite the setback, Mark Helfrich’s team still enters tomorrow’s game as a 9.5 point favorite, in large part due to the uncertainty at quarterback for Arizona State.
Below, we take a look at each teams’ recent stats against the spread and some of their previous results against each other.
Off we go...
- Arizona State is 0-2-1 against the spread in its last three games against Oregon.
- Arizona State is 9-3 against the spread in its last 12 games.
- Arizona State is 2-3 against the spread in its last five games away from home.
- Arizona State is 7-5 straight up in its last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in seven of Arizona State’s last 11 games.
- Arizona State is averaging 35.8 points per game on offense this season.
- Oregon is 9-0 SU in its last nine games against Arizona State.
- Oregon is 0-8-1 ATS in its last nine games.
- Oregon is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in nine of Oregon’s last 11 games.
- Oregon is averaging 38.6 points per game this season.
Sure, Oregon has dominated this series in recent history. But this 2-5 season has been chock-full of broken streaks for the Ducks, and their matchup with Arizona State might follow suit.
Looking at each teams’ recent stats against the spread, the Sun Devils have performed much, much better than their counterparts. Todd Graham’s team is 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games, while Oregon hasn’t had a win since it blew out USC on November 21 of last year.
This game could very well come down to whether or not Wilkins plays for the Maroon and Gold. If he is on the field, expect the visitors from Tempe to be able to cover the 9.5 points. Otherwise, this appears to be a complete toss up.
As far as the total points go, the over appears to be a safe bet. Both teams are averaging over 35 points per game on offense this season, and Arizona State and Oregon have combined to hit the over in 16 of their past 22 contests.
Note: For entertainment purposes only.